Seasons and planning
Surviving the off-season
In this article
The off‑season is a cash problem before it is a revenue problem, and it is arithmetic you can do in July. Work out your winter number — the fixed costs that keep running when the work stops, times the number of months they run for, plus a buffer — and ring‑fence it during the season. Most seasonal businesses that fail do not fail in the winter. They fail in the summer, by spending a season’s revenue as though it were a year’s income.
Every seasonal trade has a version of this: landscaping and painting lose the weather, tree work loses the storms, pool service loses the north, lawn care loses five months. What they share is that the costs do not pause.
This guide is about the money. For what to sell into the gap, the lawn care off-season guide works that through in detail — shoulder services, when to sell them and what they are worth. The two halves fit together; this is the one nobody does.
Work out your winter number
Almost nobody in a seasonal trade knows this figure, and it takes fifteen minutes.
Step one: list what does not stop. Not what you spend — what you cannot switch off.
- Vehicle and equipment finance. The most commonly forgotten, and the least negotiable.
- Insurance. Liability, vehicle, and workers’ comp if you keep anyone on.
- Premises or storage rent.
- Phone, software, accounting, licence renewals.
- Any wage you intend to keep paying.
- Your own drawings — the number you actually need to live on, not the one that sounds modest.
Step two: multiply. Suppose that comes to $6,000 a month and your off‑season is four months. That is $24,000. Add a buffer — a fifth is a reasonable starting point, because something always breaks in February — and your winter number is roughly $29,000.
Step three: divide it by your season. An eight‑month season means you must put aside about $3,600 every month you are working, before you have paid yourself a penny more than your drawings. That is the number that should change how you price and how you spend, and it is why a busy summer with nothing left in November is not bad luck.
Ring-fence it, because willpower will not
- A separate account, with the money moved on a schedule. Weekly or monthly, automatically, like a bill. Money sitting in the main account has already been spent in your head.
- Move it on the way in, not on the way out. Treat the winter as your first creditor, not your last.
- Do not raid it for equipment in August. The temptation peaks exactly when the account looks healthiest, which is exactly when it is most needed.
- Arrange a line of credit while you are busy and your figures look good. Nobody lends to a seasonal business in its dead month. This costs nothing until you draw on it and it is the cheapest insurance in this article.
- Know your real low point, which is usually a month or two after revenue stops — the last invoices are still landing when the work has already gone.
Attack the fixed costs while you still have leverage
The other half of the equation is making the winter number smaller. All of this is easier in season, when you have money and options.
- Match finance to your season where you can. Some equipment lenders will structure seasonal or skip payments. Ask in spring, not in December.
- Ask suppliers for terms. Thirty days from a merchant is the cheapest working capital in the trades and it costs paperwork, not interest.
- Question anything renting space it does not earn. The second trailer, the machine you used twice.
- Review insurance annually, in season. Not by cancelling cover — by checking you are not paying for a vehicle you sold.
- Count subscriptions once a year. They accumulate quietly and they run in January exactly as they do in June.
The crew decision, made honestly
This is the hardest part and the one people handle worst, usually by avoiding it until December.
- Work out what keeping someone actually costs across the dead months, then compare it with what re‑hiring and re‑training costs in spring. Often keeping your best person is cheaper. Sometimes it is not. Either way, decide it on the number.
- Tell people in September what the winter looks like. Not in the last week. Good people will respect an honest forecast and plan around it; they will not forgive being surprised.
- If you keep someone, have real work for them — maintenance, the route rebuild, next season’s selling. Paying somebody to be idle is corrosive for both of you.
- Remember the payroll obligations do not pause with the weather, including overtime rules if they work long days in the shoulder months. See paying crews.
The winter has to be in your prices
The structural error underneath all of this is spreading twelve months of overhead across twelve months of work when you only work eight. Every job in the season is then underpriced by roughly a third, and no amount of saving fixes a price that was wrong.
Divide your annual overheads by the jobs your actual season holds, not by an imaginary year. That is the whole method, it is worked through in why charging by the hour is costing you money, and it is why the off‑season is a pricing subject as much as a saving one.
What to stop doing
- Judging the year by the summer. A good June tells you nothing about February.
- Leaving the reserve in the main account. It is not a reserve, it is a balance.
- Applying for credit in the dead month. Arrange it in the busy one.
- Deciding about the crew in December. The conversation belongs in September.
- Assuming next season starts on time. A wet March is not a rare event, and your winter number should survive one.
- Treating the second winter like the first. The first is cushioned by start‑up money. The second is the one that ends businesses.
You cannot set a winter number without knowing what the season actually earned.
BizBaby keeps quotes, jobs and invoices together, so what you billed and what is still outstanding is a figure you can look up rather than estimate — and unpaid invoices in October are the difference between a comfortable winter and a frightening one. Recurring agreements can bill evenly across the year, so January still pays something, and the reporting shows what each month really brought in when you come to work the number out.
Free for the first three months.
Sources
Checked in August 2026. The winter‑number calculation is worked from first principles above so you can substitute your own figures line by line.
- SBA, managing your business finances — on reserves, credit lines and cash‑flow planning for small businesses.
- Surviving the off-season in lawn care — the other half of this problem, with real prices for the shoulder services worth selling and when to sell them.
- The reserve rule of thumb — full fixed costs for the whole off‑season plus about a fifth — is drawn from seasonal cash‑flow guidance across several independent accounting sources. Treat it as a floor rather than a target, and if your trade depends on weather in a single month, raise the buffer.
Knowing what to charge is step one
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